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NYC mayoral polls today: Zohran Mamdani poised to make history

NYC mayoral polls today: Zohran Mamdani poised to make history
Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani takes the stage at his primary election party, Wednesday, June 25, 2025, in New York. Photo: AP/UNB
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New York City heads into a landmark election today that could redefine its political identity. Zohran Mamdani, a 34-year-old Uganda-born democratic socialist, leads the race against key rivals Andrew Cuomo and Curtis Sliwa.

Mamdani’s message of affordability and social equity has energised working-class voters while unsettling business leaders across the nation’s financial capital.

Voters will decide whether to hand power to a democratic socialist for the first time in the city’s history. At the heart of this historic contest stands Mamdani, running as the Democratic nominee.

Mamdani, a Muslim, has captured the public imagination with a message centred on affordability, equity, and what he describes as a “new kind of politics.” His rise represents a generational and ideological shift that has energised young and working-class voters but alarmed corporate and financial interests.

Mamdani, who has consistently led in the polls since June, faces two rivals — former Governor Andrew Cuomo, running as an independent after losing to Mamdani in the Democratic primary, and Republican Curtis Sliwa, the founder of the Guardian Angels crime-prevention group.

The three-way contest has drawn national attention, particularly from United States President Donald Trump and former US president Barack Obama — each for very different reasons.

Andrew Cuomo, 67, is seeking political redemption after resigning as governor in 2021 amid sexual harassment allegations, which he continues to deny.

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Running as an independent, Cuomo has focused his campaign on public safety, pledging to hire more police officers and restore “order and confidence” in city governance.

Cuomo’s campaign has drawn support from centrist Democrats and sections of the business community who view Mamdani’s policies as too radical.

The latest data compiled by The New York Times from multiple pollsters shows Mamdani still in the lead, though his once-comfortable margin has narrowed sharply in the final stretch. Early voting ended on Sunday evening, and polling stations open citywide at 6am local time Tuesday.

Around 735,000 people have already cast early ballots in the New York mayoral election — nearly four times as many as in the last election — according to the city’s Board of Elections. The surge in early voting indicates heightened public interest, particularly among young voters.

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According to the most recent AtlasIntel poll, conducted between 25 and 30 October, Mamdani leads with 41% support, followed by Cuomo at 34% and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa at 24%. The survey of around 1,500 voters gives Mamdani a lead of 6.6 percentage points — his narrowest since July, according to the New York Post.

How has Obama supported Mamdani?

US news outlets confirmed that Mamdani received a personal call from former US President Barack Obama on Saturday. Obama, who also campaigned that day for Democratic gubernatorial candidates Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey and Abigail Spanberger in Virginia, reportedly offered to serve as a “sounding board” if Mamdani wins the election.

“Zohran Mamdani appreciated President Obama’s words of support and their conversation on the importance of bringing a new kind of politics to our city,” said Mamdani spokesperson Dora Pekec.

The endorsement adds to a wave of establishment support Mamdani has gathered since his surprise victory in the Democratic primary on 24 June, where he defeated Cuomo in what observers described as a political upset.

His victory was followed by endorsements from key Democratic figures, including New York Governor Kathy Hochul, former US Vice President Kamala Harris, long-time US Senator Bernie Sanders, and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.

What do the most recent polling trends show?

Public interest in the race has surged. By the final weekend before election day, over 700,000 New Yorkers had already cast their ballots during early voting — significantly higher than in the previous mayoral election.

Multiple polls conducted in late October show Mamdani maintaining a clear, though tightening, lead over Cuomo, with Sliwa trailing in third place.

The polls indicate that while Mamdani’s support base remains strong, Cuomo has closed the gap slightly in recent weeks, particularly among older and moderate voters.

What is Mamdani’s campaign about?

Born in Kampala, Uganda, to Indian parents and raised in New York City, Mamdani embodies a blend of global and local identities. His political journey began as a community organiser and housing advocate before his election to the state assembly, where he became known for progressive legislation and outspoken views on policing, housing, and foreign policy.

If elected, he would make history as New York City’s first Muslim mayor — and one of the youngest ever to hold the office.

His platform focuses on tackling affordability — a message that has resonated deeply with working families facing rising rents, stagnant wages, and escalating living costs. Among his policy priorities are affordable housing expansion, universal childcare, and higher taxation on corporations and the wealthy.

These proposals, however, have alarmed the city’s financial sector and major employers. Critics warn that higher taxes and social spending could drive businesses away, but Mamdani’s team insists that his policies are fiscally sound, projecting that new taxes on corporations and millionaires could generate $9 billion in annual revenue.

Independent analysts, including the libertarian-leaning Cato Institute, have questioned the projections, suggesting his spending plans may exceed potential revenues.

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