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Bangladesh capital market at crossroads

Bangladesh capital market at crossroads
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Bangladesh’s capital market is at a critical juncture. Despite strong economic growth and a rising corporate base, the country’s equity and bond markets remain shallow, constrained by structural weaknesses, policy distortions and behavioural barriers. The result is a system that underperforms its potential, leaving businesses dependent on bank financing and investors with limited avenues for long-term wealth creation.

The constraints are evident on both the supply and demand sides. On the supply side, too few companies choose to list, while corporate bond issuance remains sporadic and largely illiquid. Strict listing requirements, weak disclosure standards and a persistent reluctance among founders to dilute ownership continue to discourage firms from accessing the capital market. At the same time, outdated valuation methodologies fail to capture true enterprise value, further reducing the incentive to raise equity capital.

The bond market remains even more constrained. There is no functional benchmark yield curve, secondary market activity is negligible and issuance is discouraged by high costs and complex regulatory processes. Without a credible pricing mechanism or active trading environment, corporate bonds fail to attract both issuers and investors.

On the demand side, distortions are equally pronounced. The pricing of National Savings Certificates above market rates diverts capital away from equities and bonds, weakening participation in the capital market. Investor confidence is further eroded by concerns over the reliability of financial reporting, which undermines price discovery and increases perceived risk.

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Policy inconsistency has also weighed heavily on sentiment. Sudden changes in tax incentives have disrupted return expectations and discouraged long-term commitments. At the same time, the absence of a central clearing system and weak liquidity mechanisms have constrained market efficiency, particularly in fixed-income instruments.

Product diversity remains limited. The market is overwhelmingly equity-driven, with minimal activity in government and corporate bonds and no derivatives to support risk management. Without hedging instruments, institutional investors are unable to manage portfolio risks effectively, reducing their participation.

Institutional investors, who should be the backbone of a stable capital market, remain underutilised. Bank exposure to equities has been restricted, insurance funds lack clear asset allocation frameworks and pension systems remain largely unfunded. Mutual funds account for only a small share of market capitalisation and often trade at significant discounts to net asset value, reflecting structural inefficiencies.

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Foreign participation also remains limited. While some regulatory improvements have been made, persistent liquidity constraints — particularly in the bond market — continue to deter meaningful foreign portfolio investment.

Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated and multi-dimensional reform strategy. On the supply side, listing requirements must be modernised and valuation frameworks updated to reduce entry barriers. Fiscal incentives should be structured to encourage companies to raise capital through the market rather than rely on bank borrowing. Expanding instruments such as Sukuk and asset-backed securities could help deepen the bond market, while financing infrastructure through bond issuances would create a foundation for long-duration investment products.

On the demand side, aligning National Savings Certificate rates with market conditions would reduce distortions and redirect capital towards productive investments. Developing a benchmark government bond yield curve and establishing a central counterparty clearing system would improve pricing, reduce settlement risk and enhance liquidity. Introducing derivatives such as index futures would allow institutional investors to manage risk more effectively and support market depth.

Institutional reform is equally critical. Clarifying investment mandates for insurance funds, establishing a legal and actuarial framework for pension funds and ensuring consistent regulatory treatment for banks would unlock significant pools of long-term capital. Strengthening financial reporting standards and enhancing the credibility of credit rating agencies would further improve investor confidence.

Human capital development must also be prioritised. Expanding capital market education, building professional capacity and improving financial literacy would support both issuers and investors, creating a more informed and resilient market ecosystem.

The central challenge is coordination. Reform efforts must be aligned across the National Board of Revenue, the Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission and Bangladesh Bank. Regulatory stability is as important as regulatory reform, as unpredictability has historically undermined market confidence.

Bangladesh has the economic fundamentals to support a deep and dynamic capital market. What it now requires is decisive, coordinated action. Without it, the gap between potential and performance will continue to widen, limiting the market’s ability to support long-term economic growth.

The author is a former Chief Regulatory Officer of the Dhaka Stock Exchange.

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