Deposed prime minister and Awami League chief Sheikh Hasina’s strategy to remain in the limelight through continuous anti-government rhetoric from India, is escalating risks for party activists in Bangladesh.
Leaders and activists residing in the country fear that these inflammatory statements could land them in hot water. They believe that if the new government adopts a stricter stance due to Hasina’s comments, it will become harder for them to survive even in their home turfs.
Political analysts too believe that after the formation of BNP government, Hasina is attempting to stay in the discussion by stirring up controversy regarding the election and current administration.
Speaking to TIMES of Bangladesh, political analyst Professor Dilara Choudhury said, “In the current political reality, Hasina’s statements have no political impact. Instead, her position is creating renewed tension for party activists.
“Awami League leaders, whose political activities remained banned, are already under various legal and administrative pressures. The harsh rhetoric from the top leadership is only making the situation more complicated.”
Choudhury added, “This is primarily a strategy to maintain political relevance. On one hand, she wants to remain a topic of discussion at home and abroad. On the other, as questions arise regarding her leadership, she wants to maintain her presence among the activists.
“But in reality, it is the grassroots activists who will pay the price.”
Analysts also view BNP top leadership’s restraint in not providing counter-statements to Hasina’s various remarks about the current government and Prime Minister Tarique Rahman as a sign of political maturity.
From ‘space’ to ‘disappointment’
Following the formation of BNP government, a sense of expectation had grown among Awami League activists that a “space” for returning to politics would emerge.
That hope has now turned into a pipe dream due to the government’s firm position and the aggressive stance of the opposition alliance, including Jamaat-e-Islami and National Citizen Party (NCP).
Speaking to journalists at BNP Chairperson’s Gulshan office last Wednesday, BNP Secretary General and LGRD Minister Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir clarified party’s stance, stating, “The government will not withdraw the ban on Awami League.”
After BNP formed a new government, Awami League offices were opened in some areas, but in most cases, they have since been closed again. Arrests have been made in various locations on charges of conducting party activities.
The detention of Dhaka University Professor AKM Jamal Uddin during an attempted procession from Zero Point to Tungipara, and arrests related to the broadcasting of the March 7 speech, make it clear that the administration remains uncompromising.
The practice of “shown arrest” even after party leaders secure bail has instilled a new sense of fear among them.
During the first two working days of the Parliament’s inaugural session, both the ruling and opposition benches raised allegations of horrific torture during the Awami League’s tenure.
This clarifies that there is no major disagreement regarding their strict stance against this party. The discussion made it evident that they do not wish to see any opportunity for the political rehabilitation of the Awami League.
Grassroots seek change in leadership
Divisions have emerged within the Awami League regarding keeping those accused of disappearances, killings, and money laundering in leadership positions until the final day in power.
A large section of the grassroots has demanded leadership with a “clean image.” They seek new leadership comprising those residing in the country, effectively replacing Sheikh Hasina. However, this sentiment is not yet reflected at the top tier.
Last Wednesday, a special report by the TIMES highlighted these thoughts of Awami League activists.
Sheikh Hasina’s strategy
Following the formation of government, many view Sheikh Hasina’s recent statements as a two-pronged strategy.
On one hand, she seeks to maintain her presence in international and domestic discussions, and on the other, she intends to preserve her influence among activists. Party sources suggest that considerations for leadership change are ongoing while keeping her in the loop.
Top leaders are unwilling to join any restructuring process that excludes Sheikh Hasina. This was evidenced by the comments of several top leaders who fled abroad after the government fell on 5 August.
Three days ago, Awami League Joint General Secretary AFM Bahauddin Nasim told TIMES that the idea of a “refined” Awami League excluding Sheikh Hasina does not exist among party supporters.
He stated that the party could be reorganised only under her leadership.
Regarding the former prime minister’s recent remarks, Nasim added, “She had hoped the new government would follow a democratic path. But in reality, that is not being seen. From that position, Sheikh Hasina has spoken on various issues.”
Ultimately, those at the grassroots expect that top leaders, who are living comfortable lives abroad after leaving them in serious trouble, will not take any steps that could further endanger the leaders and activists.
